NTPC Ltd.- Stock Analysis and Study

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Stock Analysis and Study

NTPC Ltd.
Study Date: 25.08.2025

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📊 Key Financial Snapshot

• Current Price: ₹339.50

• 52-Week High/Low: ₹448 / ₹293

• Book Value: ₹173.54

• Face Value: ₹10

• PE Ratio (TTM): 13.74 🌸 (Good; Sector Avg: 26.36)

• ROCE: 10.8% 👎🏻 (Low)

• ROE: 13.6% 👎🏻 (Low)

• Beta: 1.11 👎🏻 (High Volatility)

• Piotroski Score: 6 🌸 (Good)

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💰 Dividend Profile

• Dividend Announced: ₹3.35/- per share

• Record Date: 4th September 2025

• AGM: 29th August 2025

• Payout Date: 25th September 2025

• Dividend Frequency: 3 times a year (Aug – Oct – Jan)

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📈 Performance Highlights

• PAT Growth: +11% YoY (Strong Operational Performance)

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🎯 Forecast Price Range

• High (H): ₹490 👍🏻

• Mean (M): ₹417 🙂

• Low (L): ₹320 👎🏻

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📅 Seasonality & Historical Performance

(Based on 17 years data)

• Jan: 6/17 👎🏻 (Poor) → Dividend Period 💰

• Feb: 5/17 👎🏻 (Poor) → Buy Opportunity 📈

• Mar: 11/17 🌸 (Good) → Sell & Book Profit 📉

• Apr: 9/17 🌸 (Good) → Sell 📉

• May: 6/17 👎🏻 (Poor)

• Jun: 9/17 🌸 (Good) → Sell 📉

• Jul: 7/17 (Neutral)

• Aug: 10/17 🌸 (Strong) → Dividend Period 💰 (Record Date: 4 Sept)

• Sep: 9/17 🌸 (Good)

• Oct: 9/17 🌸 (Good) → Dividend Period 💰

• Nov: 3/17 👎🏻 (Very Poor) → Buy Opportunity 📈

• Dec: 9/17 🌸 (Good)

📌 Seasonality Note:

• Q1 (July) & Q4 (May): Revenue dip due to lower power demand.

• Q2 & Q3 (Aug–Dec): Stronger performance with higher seasonal demand
  

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✅ Quick Rating Box

• P – Poor 👎🏻

• G – Good 🌸

• D – Dividend 💰

• B – Buy 📈

• S – Sell 📉

• H – High 👍🏻

• L – Low 👎🏻

• M – Mean 🙂

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🔎 Interpretation & Insights

• Strengths: Attractive PE vs sector, stable dividend track record, PAT growth of 11% YoY, strong seasonal Q2 & Q3.

• Weaknesses: Low ROE & ROCE, high beta (volatility).

• Opportunities: Dividend income consistency; strong performance in Aug–Oct & Dec.

• Risks: Cyclical demand dependency, seasonality affecting Q1 & Q4.

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⚠️ Disclaimer

This analysis is prepared purely for educational and analytical purposes. It reflects independent research, data interpretation, and study insights. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendation. Investors must consult certified financial advisors, considering personal risk appetite and financial goals, before making investment decisions.

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