📊 Stock Analysis & Study: ONGC
Study Date: 18 September 2025
Legend:
P = Poor 👎🏻 | G = Good 🌸 | D = Dividend | B = Buy | S = Sell | HD = Hold 😅 | HH = High 👍🏻 | L = Low 👎🏻 | M = Mean
🏢 Company Performance & Dividend
Q1 FY25 Results (announced 8 August 2025):
Dividend Policy:
-
ONGC pays dividends three times a year (Aug–Nov–Feb), totaling approximately ₹12 per share annually.
-
Recent payout: 🌸 ₹1.25 per share (already paid in September 2025).
-
Upcoming dividends:
-
November: X/- per share
-
February: X/- per share
-
Record Date & Payout Date: To be announced.
💹 Current Market Snapshot
-
Current Price: ₹237 (Below BV = ₹273 👍)
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52W H/L: ₹345 / ₹205
-
P/E: 8.27 👎 (Sector P/E: 8.84)
-
ROCE: 12% (Low 👎)
-
ROE: 10.6% (Low 👎)
-
Book Value: ₹273 🌸
-
Face Value: ₹5
-
Beta: 1.06 (High volatility 👎)
Price Forecast (H/M/L): ₹340 / ₹273 / ₹205
📈 Seasonality Trend (17-Year Historical Performance)
-
Jan: 8/16 (+2.95%) → Ok
-
Feb: 8/17 (-1.54%) → Poor 👎🏻 (Dividend month)
-
Mar: 8/17 (-0.02%) → Poor 👎🏻
-
Apr: 13/17 (+3.52%) → Very Good 🌸🌸🌸 (Sell & book profits)
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May: 8/17 (+2.39%) → Sell
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June: 10/17 (+0.62%) → Good 🌸 (Sell)
-
July: 7/17 (-1.11%)
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Aug: 8/17 (-0.58%) → Dividend month
-
Sep: 9/17 (+1.53%) → Ok
-
Oct: 8/17 (+0.84%)
-
Nov: 5/17 (-0.73%) → Poor 👎🏻 (Buy opportunity + Dividend)
-
Dec: 9/17 (+1.37%)
📊 Institutional & Financial Indicators
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Piotroski Score: 4 👎 → Weak financial health
-
FII: 7.09% (↓ from 7.12%)
-
DII: 30.14% (↓ from 30.24%)
-
Promoter Holding: Unchanged
-
Total Institutional Holding: 37.23% (↓ from 37.36%)
🧭 Strategy Outlook
👉 If already holding ONGC, best exit window could be in November (post-dividend bounce).
✅ Buy or Not Buy?
-
Current price below book value (positive 🌸)
-
Weak YoY profit/EPS growth 👎🏻
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Attractive dividend yield (approx. 5%) 🌸
-
High volatility (Beta > 1) 👎🏻
🔎 Interpretation: ONGC appears more suited for dividend-focused investors and short-term seasonal trades rather than long-term compounding, given weak growth metrics.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This report is prepared for educational and analytical purposes only. It reflects personal research, interpretation, and historical trend analysis. This is not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor and align with your financial goals and risk profile before making any investment decisions.
Stock Analysis and Study
ONGC
Study on 18.09.2025
P-Poor👎🏻
G- Good 🌸
D-Dividend
B-Buy
S-Sell
HD-Hold 😅
HH-High 👍🏻
L-Low 👎🏻
M- Mean
--------------------------------------
Company Performance & Dividend
Result :June Result ⬇️ % YOY
Sale : (-3%) Poor👎🏻
EBIDT: (+18%)Good 🌸
Net Profit:(-2%) Poor👎🏻
EPS: (-2%) Poor👎🏻
Result : Q1-8 August 2025
-------------------------------------
Paying dividend 3 time in year (August-Nov-Feb =apprx. 12 /- in a year)
Dividend Announce :🌸 1.25/- per Share (already paid in Sep )
Upcoming dividend payout in
Nov: X/-per Share
Feb : X/-Per Share
Record date :
Payout date :
--------------------------------------
Current Market Snapshot
Current Price: 237 (Below BV=273👍)
52W H/L: 345/205
PE: 8.27 (👎)
PE Sector: 8.84
ROCE:12%(Low👎)
ROE: 10.6% (Low👎)
Book Value :273 (Good 🌸)
Face Value:5
Beta: 1.06(Bad👎)
Forcast:H/M/L
340/273/205
-------------------------------------
Seasonality Trend (Last 17 Years Performance)
Seasonality
Positive result in
Jan: 8/16 (Ok)(+2.95%)
Feb: 8/17 (Poor👎🏻) Dividend(-1.54%)
Mar: 8/17 (Poor👎🏻)(-0.02%)
Apr: 13/17 (V.good🌸🌸🌸) (Sell and book Profit)(+3.52%)
May: 8/17 (+2.39%) Sell
June: 10/17 (Good🌸) (+0.62%) Sell
July :7/17 (-1.11%)
Aug: 8/17 (Dividend)(-0.58%)
Sep: 9/17 (Ok)(+1.53%)
Oct: 8/17 (+0.84%)
Nov: 5/17 (Poor👎🏻)(Buy) Dividend (-0.73%)
Dec: 9/17(+1.37%)
–-------------------------------------
Piotroski Score : 4 👎 (Poor) weak Finance
FII: 7.09% (7.12%)⬇️
DII: 30.14% (30.24%)⬇️
Promoter:unchange
Institution Invester : 37.23% (37.36%)⬇️
⬆️⬇️ 🌸👍🏻👎🏻😅current% (old%)
------------------------------------
Strategy Outlook
Shareholding max upto
In current case -Nov (Dividend)
For Max Profit
1.Buy in Feb,---Sell in April,
2. Buy in May,---Sell in June,
3.Buy in July,---Sell in August,
4.Buy in Nov,---Sell in Dec,
Confidence Vote
👉 If you already hold this stock, best exit opportunity may come in Nov .
Buy or Not Buy Decision
⚠️ Disclaimer
This study is intended only for educational and analytical purposes. It reflects personal research, interpretation, and historical trend analysis. It is not investment advice. Investors must consult certified financial advisors and consider individual financial goals and risk profiles before making investment decisions.
