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Monday, October 6, 2025

Growth Sector India 2026 -Renewable Energy and Green Infrastructure- Parking Concept- 5000 plus Crore extra tax collection opportunity -Parking Challenge as well as opportunity too in India

Growth Sector India 2026 -Renewable Energy and Green Infrastructure

 

Electricity and Renewable Energy: India is investing in renewable energy sources, including solar and wind energy, to meet its growing energy demands sustainably. The development of infrastructure projects, such as the National Infrastructure Pipeline, includes investments in the energy sector to ensure reliable power supply.

Income tax department Losing approximate 5000 plus Crore extra tax collection - Income tax in parking due to lack of policy and proper control over parking slip.

  #NGT


http://www.getmyparking.com/






http://www.wepark.in/

Gogle Play store- https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=in.megaparking.megaparkingcustomer&hl=en





Black Money in parking - No PAN / TIN Number/BAR Code /QRCode / CIN number of contractor on Parking receipt





Previous Reference :


PRSEC/E/2016/04076- President Secretariat- Parking

PMOPG/E/2015/0155127- PMO India- Parking : 

Your suggestion is praiseworthy and noted by ministry


DPLNG/E/2015/00238 - NITI Aayog - Parking
PMOPG/E/2015/0073976 – PMO India- Parking
PMOPG/E/2017/0399416 -  PMO India-Parking

Parking Concept- Next generation revolution for India Economy Growth, National level policy & Bill required, Regularizing Parking Concept framework in India (Benchmarking the Bangalore/ Benchmarking the Australia)

CBODT/E/2017/15148 - Income tax -Parking


The issue raised in your grievance pertains to Policy matter. Your grievance is being forwarded to JS, TPL-I, RNO: 148-A, Ministry of Finance, Dept of Revenue, North Block, New Delhi -110001, Tel: 011-23092988, for further necessary action.

PMOPG/E/2017/0367971 – Aadhar enabled Digital RTO

RT Wing MVL Section: Dear Sh Bhatia We thank you for your valuable thinking and suggestions and highlighting them to us. Your suggestions have been noted. We have already moved amendments in MV ACT and hope would redress the issues raised.
Thank you 
Jai Hind

PMOPG/E/2017/0315413-PMO India - PMO India-  Parking

इन्वेस्टीगेशन फेक है  इतने सारे  प्रूफ स्क्रीन शार्ट पिक्चर एंड अटैचमेंट देने के बाद भी नो एक्शन  #corruption #Blackmoney #mafia 

ACP/ Hauzkhass/SD - Delhi

An enquiry into the matter was conducted through ACP/Hauz Khas/SD revealed that the complainant has given suggestions on parking issue by which government can solve the parking problem and generate revenue. From the enquiry made so far, no cognizable offence is made out.



Parking Challenge as well as opportunity too.


  1. Policy amendment can bring lots of revenue generation for government
  2.  Parking only on left hand side and defining one way road only Identify the area where government can implement one way traffic to fight with conjunction due to traffic also in the same time they are generating scope of parking and revenue for government जैसे की जहा सिंगल रोड है और divider नहीं है वहा केवक रोड के एक साइड - राईट में ही पार्किंग allow हो और one way डिफाइन किया जाये जिससे की ट्रैफिक कंजेक्शन और पोलुशन न हो। 

dda park , Begampur ,Kalu sarai , Near Vijay mandal sarvodaya enclave delhi.
  • Service charges implementation on parking price should be all inclusive Rs 10, 20, 50 Max this also need to mention service tax number on parking slip and reduce the scope of black money.
  • Black Money in parking - No PAN / TIN Number/barcode/ QR code on Parking receipt
 
  • Parking Concept- Next generation revolution for India Economy Growth
  • Solar Roof Parking system new generation concept

Solar Panel at top of Parking - Parking Concept- - Next generation revolution for India Economy Growth.

National level policy & Bill required


I like the concept by sun houses parking Reference :http://www.sunhousedesign.com/sunhousedesign.com/solar.html
















  • In favor of Government of INDIA - All parking receipt should contain service tax and all cess information to stop black money transection in the name of parking contract. price should be included all kind of taxes and Maximum Price tax should not be more then Rs 10 for 2-wheeler and Rs 30 for 4-wheeler for a day (8 hours)
  • Automatic parking slip machines should be implemented like Bangalore/ Australia and credit /debit card option should be there.
  • No dalal is there / no corruption/ direct income transfer to government body
  • To make this system online credit /debit card option is needed to reduce corruption /black money involvement
http://vishesh2014.blogspot.in/2014/01/potential-of-development-india-parking.html
Finland

Tampere Finland Parking slip machine




Parking system need to develop so that no black money in this area





Parking Concept- Next generation revolution for India Economy Growth 

system need to develop so that no cash required
#digitalIndia #rupay card #credit card  #debit card may be an option.
क्या भारत सरकार इन पार्किंग रसीदों की authenticity   चेक करने में समर्थ  है।  देश में हो रहे इसतरह के छोटे छोटे फर्जीवाड़े को रोकने के लिए सरकार ने कुछ कदम उठे है।



December 13, 2013 at 4:16pm

+Narendra Modi +PMO India 


Regularizing Parking Concept framework in India 
Benchmarking the Bangalore/ Benchmarking the Australia

Benchmarking Finland

Learning/developing best practices/ better policies inside the India followed by different places

Reference : http://www.tribuneindia.com/2011/20111116/asrtrib.htm
Observation
  • Traffic condition are really bad
  • People are parking here and there
  • No parking space pre determined
Suggestion
  • Better utilization of space for parking.
  • Space for parking properly defined  and marked
  • Road space should be defined for parking from night 10 PM to Morning 6:30 AM
  • In business hours parking should be available only for 2-6 hours depend up on place to place.
  • Automatic parking slip machines should be implemented like Bangalore/ Australia and credit /debit card option should be there.
  • No dalal is there / no corruption/ direct income transfer to government body
  • Easily tractability of income from this source, service tax will increase.
  • Fail to follow this system will cause need to collect the vehicle from government office.
  • To make this system online credit /debit card option ir really needed to reduce corruption /black money involvement.
  • Really needed one way defining in markets, poles should be permanently fixed on side small roads/ Gali to stopped conjunction in market (Bench marking of Rajkot market/ Bhatinda  Punjab Market) ( Practical problem  you can observe in major place in delhi chandni chock etc)

Benefit
  • Government Income Increase
  • Collected Income can be used for development of particular area roads / light / water /hospital/ employment /education government school development etc
  • Public  will get developed and improve system & environment
  • Corruption by traffic police will reduced by e - payment system they need to carry portable payment m/c , no cash allow.

Thursday, October 2, 2025

GNFC (Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd.)- Stock Analysis and Study-



GNFC (Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd.)

Study Date: 01.09.2025
Current Price: ₹526 (Below Book Value: ₹569.68/-)


Quick Indicators

  • P – Poor 👎🏻

  • G – Good 🌸 / 👍🏻

  • D – Dividend

  • B – Buy

  • S – Sell

  • H – High 👍🏻

  • L – Low 👎🏻

  • M – Mean


Financial Snapshot

  • June Result: ⬇️ 20.78% YoY

  • Dividend Policy: 1 time annually (September)

  • Latest Dividend: 🌸 ₹18/- per Share

  • Record Date: 02.09.2025

  • Payout Date: Not yet announced

  • 52W H/L: 707 / 449

  • PE Ratio: 13.86 (Good 🌸)

  • Sector PE: 25.56

  • ROCE: 9.57% (Poor 👎🏻)

  • ROE: 7.08% (Poor 👎🏻)

  • Book Value: ₹569.68 (Good 🌸)

  • Face Value: ₹10

  • Beta: 1.26 (High Volatility 👎🏻)

  • Forecast: H / M / L (Mixed Trend)


Strength Indicators

  • Piotroski Score: 8 🌸🌸 (Very Good – Strong Financials)

  • FII Holding: ⬇️ 12.67% (Prev. 15.03%)

  • DII Holding: ⬆️ 10.49% (Prev. 10.13%)

  • Promoters: 🌸 Stable at 41.30%

  • Institutional Investors: ⬇️ 23.16% (Prev. 25.16%)


Seasonality Performance (17-Year Historical Data)

  • Jan: 7/17 👎🏻 (+2.44%) → Buy

  • Feb: 4/17 (Very Poor 👎🏻 -4.32%) → Buy

  • Mar: 9/17 (Good 🌸 +3.30%) → Hold

  • Apr: 15/17 (Very Good 🌸 +9.95%) → Sell & Book Profit

  • May: 6/17 (Poor 👎🏻 +2.13%) → Buy

  • Jun: 9/17 (-0.64%) → Neutral

  • Jul: 11/17 (Good 🌸 +2.71%) → Sell

  • Aug: 9/17 (OK -3.25%) → Buy

  • Sep: 10/17 (OK +3.56%) → Sell (Dividend ₹18/-)

  • Oct: 10/17 (🌸 +9.26%) → Sell & Book Profit

  • Nov: 8/17 (Poor 👎🏻 -2.64%) → Buy

  • Dec: 9/17 (OK +1.01%) → Sell

📌 Seasonal Strategy for Max Profit:

  • Best Buy Months: February & August

  • Best Sell Months: April & October


Conclusion

GNFC is currently trading below its book value, offering a margin of safety. While profitability ratios (ROE/ROCE) are weak, the Piotroski score and dividend policy are strong positives. Seasonal trends suggest tactical buying in dips (Feb/Aug) and profit-booking in Apr/Oct.


Disclaimer

This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, historical data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, keeping in mind their personal goals and risk appetite.

GNFC
Study on 01.09.2025
Current Price: 526 (Below Book Value:569.68/-)
P-Poor👎🏻 
G- Good 👍🏻
D-Dividend
B-Buy
S-Sell
H-High 👍🏻
L-Low 👎🏻
M- Mean
Result :June Result ⬇️ 20.78% YOY
Paying dividend 1 time in year (September)
Dividend Announce :🌸 18/- per Share 
Record date :02.Sep 2025
Payout date : 
52W H/L: 707/449 
PE: 13.86 (Good)
PE Sector:25.56
ROCE:9.57% (Poor👎🏻)
ROE: 7.08% (Poor👎🏻)
Book Value: 569.68 (Good)
Face Value:10
Beta: 1.26 (Poor)
Forcast:H/M/L

Piotroski Score : 8 🌸🌸 (V.Good) Strong Finance
FII: ⬇️ 12.67% (15.03%)
DII: ⬆️ 10.49% ( 10.13%)
Promoter: 🌸 Unchanged (41.30%)
Institution Invester : ⬇️ 23.16% (25.16%)
Seasonality
Positive result in
Jan:7/17 👎🏻(+2.44%)
(Buy)
Feb: 4/17 (V.Poor)👎🏻 (-4.32%) (Buy)
Mar: 9/17 (Good🌸) (+3.30%) Hold
Apr:  15/17 (V.Good 🌸) (9.95%) (Sell and Book Profit)
May: 6/17 (Poor👎🏻) (+2.13%) -Buy
June:9/17 (-0.64%)(OK)
July: 11/17 (+2.71%)🌸Good- Sell
Aug: 9/17 (OK)(-3.25%) Buy
Sep:10/17 (Ok) (+3.56%) (Dividend -18/-) Sell
Oct: 10/17 (🌸)(+9.26%) (Sell and Book Profit
Nov: 8/17 (Poor 👎🏻) (-2.64%) (Buy)
Dec: 9/17 (Ok) (+1.01%) sell

For Max Profit buy in Feb and August
Sell in April and October

Disclaimer
This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.



Crompton Greaves- Stock Analysis and Study

Stock Analysis / Study

Company: Crompton Greaves
Date: 10.09.2025


Key Valuation Metrics

  • Current Price: ₹319

  • Book Value: ₹48.26 → 10x above book value (Expensive)

  • P/E Ratio: 38.90 🌸 (Sector PE: 70.58 – Relatively Attractive)

  • ROCE: 19% 🌸 (Healthy)

  • ROE: 17.4% 🌸 (Good Return on Equity)

  • Face Value: ₹2

  • Beta: 0.71 🌸 (Low Volatility – Defensive Stock)

  • 52W H/L: ₹469 / ₹301

📊 Forecast Price Range (H/M/L): ₹470 / ₹406 / ₹335


Quarterly Performance (June 2025 – YoY)

  • Sales: ↓ 7% 👎🏻 (Poor)

  • EBITDA: ↓ 18% 👎🏻 (Poor)

  • Net Profit: ↓ 19% 👎🏻 (Poor)

  • EPS: ↓ 19% 👎🏻 (Poor)

📉 Observation: Weak operational and bottom-line performance.


Dividend Policy

  • Dividend Frequency: Once a year (July)

  • Latest Dividend (July 2025): ₹3 per share 🌸

  • Record Date / Payout Date: [Data not provided]


Seasonality Analysis (Historical Trends)

  • Jan: 3/9 Positive 👎🏻 (+2.89%)

  • Feb: 1/9 Positive 👎👎 (-4.31%) → Buy Opportunity

  • Mar: 5/9 Positive 👎🏻 (-1.46%)

  • Apr: 5/9 Positive 👎🏻 (+1.60%)

  • May: 7/9 Positive 🌸🌸 (+3.50%) → Sell & Book Profits

  • June: 8/10 Positive 🌸🌸 (+2.65%) → Sell & Book Profits

  • July: 7/10 Positive (+4.65%)

  • Aug: 8/9 Positive 🌸🌸 (+3.02%) → Sell Opportunity

  • Sep: 5/10 Positive 👎🏻 (-1.64%) → Buy Opportunity

  • Oct: 3/9 Positive 👎🏻 (-0.76%) → Buy Opportunity

  • Nov: 7/9 Positive 🌸🌸 (+0.96%) → Sell Opportunity

  • Dec: 4/9 Positive 👎🏻 (+2.25%)


Financial Strength & Shareholding

  • Piotroski Score: 7 🌸🌸 (Very Good – Strong Financial Position)

  • FII Holding: 29.20% (Previous: 30.34%) ⬇️

  • DII Holding: 58.93% (Previous: 57.04%) ⬆️

  • Promoter Holding: Unchanged

  • Total Institutional Investors: 88.13% (Previous: 87.38%) ⬆️


Investment Strategy (Seasonality-Based)

For Maximum Profit Potential:

  1. Buy in Feb → Sell in May–June–July–Aug

  2. Buy in Sep–Oct → Sell in Nov–Dec


Verdict

  • Valuation: Expensive (10x Book Value), but supported by strong ROCE & ROE.

  • Performance: Current quarter results weak 👎🏻.

  • Positives: Strong institutional holding, low beta, good Piotroski score.

  • Negatives: Sales and profit decline, high valuation.


Disclaimer

This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.





Stock Analyze /Self Study on 10.09.2025

Crompton Greaves

Current Price: 317 (10 time Above Book Value: 48.26)

P-Poor👎🏻 

G- Good 🌸

D-Dividend

B-Buy

S-Sell

HD-Hold 😅

HH-High 👍🏻

L-Low 👎🏻

M- Mean

--------------------------------------

Result :June Result ⬇️ % YOY

Sale : (-7%) Poor👎🏻

EBIDT: (-18%) Poor👎🏻

Net Profit:(-19%) Poor👎🏻

EPS;: (-19%) Poor👎🏻

-------------------------------------

Paying dividend 1 time in year (3/- in July)

Dividend Announce :🌸 3/- per Share (already paid in July )

Record date :

Payout date : 

--------------------------------------

Current Price: 319

52W H/L: 469/301

PE: 38.90 (Good🌸)

PE Sector: 70.58

ROCE:19% (Good🌸)

ROE: 17.4 (Good🌸)

Book Value :48.26 (Low)

Face Value:2

Beta: 0.71 (Good🌸)

Forcast:H/M/L

470/406/335

-------------------------------------

Seasonality

Positive result in 

Jan: 3/9 (Poor,👎) (+2.89%)

Feb:1/9( V.poor👎👎) (-4.31) Buy

Mar:5/9 (Poor 👎) (-1.46%)

Apr:5/9  (Poor 👎)(+1.60)

May: 7/9 (V.good🌸🌸)(+3.50%)

(Sell and book Profit)

June:8/10( V.good🌸🌸)(+2.65%)

(Sell and book Profit)

July: 7/10 (+4.65%)

Aug :8/9 (V.good🌸🌸) (+3.02%) sell 

Sep:5/10(Poor👎) (-1.64%) Buy

Oct: 3/9 (Poor👎) (-0.76%) Buy

Nov:7/9 (V.Good🌸🌸)(+0.96%) Sell

Dec:4/9 (Poor👎)(+2.25%)

–-------------------------------------

Piotroski Score : 7 🌸🌸 (V.Good) Strong Finance

FII: 29.20% (30.34)

DII: 58.93% (57.04%)

Promoter:unchange

Institution Invester : 88.13% (87.38%)


⬆️⬇️ 🌸👍🏻👎🏻😅current% (old%)

------------------------------------

Shareholding max upto 

In current case -Nov 


For Max Profit 

1. Buy in Feb,---Sell in May-June-July-August,

2. Buy in Sep - Oct Sell in Nov-Dec



Disclaimer:

The purpose of this article is only to share interesting charts, data points and thought-provoking opinions. It is NOT a recommendation. If you wish to consider an investment, you are strongly advised to consult your advisor. This article is strictly for educative purposes only. 


content of the articles and the interpretation of data are solely the personal views of 
writers/ authors. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific objectives, resources and only after consulting such independent advisors as may be necessary.

Punjab National Bank (PNB)- Stock Analysis and Study



Stock Analysis and Study

Punjab National Bank (PNB)
Study Date: 29.08.2025


📊 Key Financial Snapshot

  • Current Price: ₹101.45

  • 52-Week High/Low: ₹117 / ₹85

  • Book Value: ₹82.65

  • Face Value: ₹2

  • PE Ratio (TTM): 7.02 (Fair; Sector Avg: 8.63)

  • ROCE: 6.32% 👎🏻 (Poor)

  • ROE: 15.2% 🌸 (Good)

  • Beta: 1.15 👎🏻 (High Volatility)

  • Piotroski Score: 3 👎🏻 (Weak Financials)


💰 Dividend Profile

  • Frequency: Once a year

  • Latest Dividend: ₹2.90/- per share

  • Payout Date: 20th June 2025


🎯 Forecast Price Range

  • High (H): ₹130 👍🏻

  • Mean (M): ₹115 🙂

  • Low (L): ₹90 👎🏻


📅 Seasonality & Historical Performance

  • Jan: 6/17 (👎🏻 Poor) +0.21% → Buy

  • Feb: 6/17 (👎🏻 Very Poor) -8.50% → Strong Buy

  • Mar: 10/17 (🌸 Good) +4.71% → Sell & Book Profit

  • Apr: 12/17 (🌸 Very Good) +3.56% → Sell & Book Profit

  • May: 4/17 (👎🏻 Poor) -0.76% → Buy

  • Jun: 7/17 (🙂 Moderate) +1.72%

  • Jul: 10/17 (🌸 Good) +1.90% → Sell

  • Aug: 6/17 (👎🏻 Poor) -2.72% → Buy

  • Sep: 9/17 (🌸 Good) +1.34%

  • Oct: 10/17 (🌸 Good) +6.16% → Sell & Book Profit

  • Nov: 10/17 (🌸 Good) +3.33% → Sell

  • Dec: 8/17 (🙂 Neutral) +1.14% → No 


Quick Rating Box

  • P – Poor 👎🏻

  • G – Good 🌸

  • D – Dividend 💰

  • B – Buy 📈

  • S – Sell 📉

  • H – High 👍🏻

  • L – Low 👎🏻

  • M – Mean 🙂


🔎 Interpretation & Insights

  • Strengths: Attractive PE vs sector, healthy ROE, consistent dividend.

  • Weaknesses: Weak Piotroski score, low ROCE, high volatility.

  • Opportunities: Seasonal strength in Mar–Apr and Oct–Nov for profit booking.

  • Risks: Vulnerable to market swings, financial fundamentals not very strong.


⚠️ Disclaimer

This study is purely for educational and analytical purposes. It is based on personal research, data interpretation, and independent analysis. It does not constitute investment advice. Investors should consult certified financial advisors before making investment decisions.



Emami Limited- Stock Analysis and Study

Share Name: Emami Limited
Stock Analysis and Study 
Study on 30.09.2025
Bulk Deal 30.09.2025 (14 CR.)

P-Poor👎🏻 
G- Good 🌸
D-Dividend
B-Buy
S-Sell
HD-Hold 😅
HH-High 👍🏻
L-Low 👎🏻
M- Mean
-----------------------------------
Company Performance & Dividend

Result :June Result ⬇️ % YOY
Sale : (0%) Poor👎🏻
EBIDT: (-1%)Poor👎🏻
Net Profit:(+8%) Good🌸
EPS: (+7%) Good 🌸
Result : Q1
-----------------------------------
Paying dividend 3 times a year (Nov-Feb =approx. 8 /- in a year)
Dividend Announce :🌸 2/- per Share special dividend in May 22 (already paid in May)
Upcoming dividend payout in 
Nov: X/-per Share
Feb : X/-Per Share
Record date :
Payout date : 
-----------------------------------
Piotroski Score : 8 Good🌸 Strong Finance
FII: 11.89% (12.11%)⬇️ 
DII: 24.06% (23.67%)⬆️
Promoter:unchange (54.84%)
Institution Invester : 35.95% (35.78%)⬆️
Promoter  pledge: 10.50% (13.49%) Good🌸
Public:5.30% (5.38%)

⬆️⬇️ 🌸👍🏻👎🏻😅current% (old%)
-----------------------------------
Current Market Snapshot

Current Price: 538.25  (~9X Above BV=60.20👎🏻)
52 W H/L: 768/507
PE:  (28.72 👍🏻)
PE Sector: 58.49
ROCE: 32.4%(V. Good🌸🌸)
ROE: 30.2% (V.Good🌸🌸)
Book Value : 60.20 (Poor 👎🏻)
Face Value:1
Beta: 0.64 (Good🌸)
Forcast:H/M/L
885/710/540
-----------------------------------
Seasonality Trend (Last 17 Years Performance)
Seasonality
Positive result in 
Jan: (+0.38%) 8/17
Feb: D (-2.64%) 6/17 Poor👎🏻-Buy
Mar: (-0.89%) 10/17
Apr: (+5.17%) 13/17 Good🌸-Sell and book profit
May: (+7.23%) 12/17 Good🌸-Sell
June: (+4.51%)13/17 Good🌸-Sell and book profit
July: (+7.43%)14/17 Good🌸-Sell and book profit (Max)
Aug: (+2.56%) 6/17 -Poor👎🏻 -Buy
Sep: (+0.88%) 10/17
Oct: (-0.30%) 7/17 -Poor 👎🏻-Buy
Nov: D (+0.78%) 7/17 -Poor 👎🏻-Buy
Dec:(-3.10%) 5/17 -V.Poor 👎🏻👎🏻-Buy
-----------------------------------
Strategy Outlook

Shareholding max upto 
In the current case - (up coming Dividend in Nov. )

For Max Profit 
1.Buy in Dec,---Sell in Jan,
2.Buy in Feb,---Sell in July
3.Buy in Oct Dividend in Nov.

Confidence Vote
👉 If you already hold this stock, best exit opportunity may come in Jan.

Buy or Not Buy Decision: Buy @538/-

Disclaimer
This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.

Power Finance Corporation Limited- Stock Analysis and Study

Stock Analysis and Study -
Power Finance Corporation Limited

Study on 25.09.2025

P-Poor👎🏻 
G- Good 🌸
D-Dividend
B-Buy
S-Sell
HD-Hold 😅
HH-High 👍🏻
L-Low 👎🏻
M- Mean
-----------------------------------
Company Performance & Dividend

Result :June Result ⬆️ % YOY
Sale : (15%) Good 🌸
EBIDT : (15%)Good 🌸
Net Profit:(24%)Good 🌸 
EPS: (24%) Good 🌸
Result : Q1
-----------------------------------
Paying dividend 4 time in year  (August-Nov-Feb -June) =apprx. 13.50 /- per share in a year)
Dividend Announce :🌸 3.70/- per Share (already paid in Aug )
Upcoming dividend payout in 
Nov: X/-per Share
Feb : X/-Per Share
June: X/-Per Share
Record date :
Payout date : 
-----------------------------------
Current Market Snapshot

Current Price: 408.50 (Good 🌸) (Above BV=357👍)
52 W H/L: 524/357
PE:  5.61(Good🌸)
PE Sector: 11.52
ROCE:9.73%(Low👎)
ROE: 21.0% (Good🌸)
Book Value : 357 (Good 🌸)
Face Value: 10
Beta: 1.79 (Bad👎)
Forcast:H/M/L
580/516/450 
-----------------------------------
Piotroski Score : 4 (Poor👎🏻)  weak Finance
FII: 18.66% (18.84%)⬇️ 
DII: 16.12% (16.18%)⬇️ 
Promoter:unchange 55.99%
Institution Invester : 34.78% (35.02%)⬇️ 
Promoter pledge: Zero👍🏻
Public: 7.46% (7.28)⬆️

⬆️⬇️ 🌸👍🏻👎🏻😅current% (old%)
-----------------------------------
Seasonality Trend- (Av. Monthly Performance%) (Last 17 Years Performance)
Seasonality
Positive result in 
Jan: (-1.77%) 6/17 -Poor👎🏻- Buy
Feb: (+0.44%) 9/17
Mar: (+0.02%) 10/17 
Apr: (+1.98%) 10/17 (Good🌸) -Sell
May:(+2.52%) 8/17 -Buy
June: (+1.43%) 10/17
July:(+2.76%) 10/17 (Good🌸) -Sell
Aug: (-1.00%) 6/17 -Poor👎🏻 Buy
Sep:(+1.14%) 7/17 (Poor👎🏻) -Buy
Oct: (+4.75%) 10/17
Nov: (+6.24%) 11/17 (V.Good🌸🌸) -Sell and Book Profit
Dec:(+1.26%) 10/17
-----------------------------------
Strategy Outlook

Shareholding max upto In current case -Nov 

For Max Profit 
1.Buy in Aug- Sep,---Sell in Nov
2.Buy in Jan,---Sell in Apr,
3.Buy in May , ---Sell in July

Confidence Vote: 10/10
Buy or Not Buy Decision- Buy

Disclaimer
This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.

NTPC Green- Stock Analysis and Study

Stock Analysis and Study -NTPC Green

Study on 02.10.2025

P-Poor👎🏻 
G- Good 🌸
D-Dividend
B-Buy
S-Sell
HD-Hold 😅
HH-High 👍🏻
L-Low 👎🏻
M- Mean
-----------------------------------
Company Performance & Dividend

Result :June Result ⬆️% YOY
Sale : (+18%) ⬆️Good 🌸
EBIDT: (+18%)⬆️Good 🌸
Net Profit:(+59%) ⬆️  Good 🌸
EPS: (+8%) ⬆️ Good 🌸
Result : Q1
-----------------------------------
Paying dividend zero time in year  =apprx. 0 /- in a year)
Dividend Announce :🌸 0/- per Share 
Upcoming dividend payout in Not applicable
Record date :NA
Payout date : NA
-----------------------------------
Piotroski Score : 4 (Poor👎🏻)  weak Finance
FII: 1.85% (1.98%)⬇️ 
DII: 4.65% (4.87%)⬇️ 
Promoter:unchange 89.01%
Institution Invester : 6.50% (6.85%)⬇️ 
Promoter pledge: Zero
Public: 4.18% (3.87%) ⬆️

⬆️⬇️ 🌸👍🏻👎🏻😅current% (old%)
-----------------------------------
Current Market Snapshot

Current Price: 98.15 (5X above BV=21.9) (Poor 👎)
52 W H/L: 155/84.6
PE: 161.55 (Poor 👎)
PE Sector: 28.33
ROCE:4.89%(Low👎)
ROE: 3.85% (Low👎)
Book Value : 21.9 (Poor👎🏻)
Face Value: 10
Beta: 1.13 (Bad👎)
Forcast:H/M/L
120/104/75
-----------------------------------
Seasonality Trend- no Data   
-----------------------------------
Strategy Outlook

Short-term: Volatile due to IPO listing gains/profit booking.

Medium-term: Govt. push on renewables = growth driver.

Long-term: Strong potential as India expands solar/wind capacity, but valuation is expensive right now.

👉 Best Strategy:
Investors: Accumulate on dips near ₹80–85 for long-term renewable energy story.

Confidence Vote

Fundamentals: 🌸 Growth story, but weak finance ratios

Valuation: 👎 Overpriced (PE > 160)

Dividends: Not attractive yet

Risk: High volatility post-IPO

📌 Decision:

Short-term: HD-Hold 😅 (Don’t chase at high PE, wait for correction)

Long-term (5+ years): B-Buy 🌸 on dips below ₹90 for green energy exposure.

Buying price : 85- 90/-
As per recent month trend 100/- was Minimum
Disclaimer
This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.


Sentiment Analysis – NTPC Green Stock Review

Aspect Sentiment Reason
Business Growth Positive Strong YoY growth in sales and profit.
Valuation Negative Extremely high PE (161+) → Overvalued.
Financial Strength / Ratios Weak / Cautious Low ROE/ROCE, Piotroski Score = 4 (Poor).
Dividend Potential ⚠️ Neutral / Future Positive Dividend-friendly parent, but no strong history yet for subsidiary.
Institutional Behaviour ⚠️ Mild Negative FIIs/DIIs reducing stake post-IPO.
Promoter Confidence Positive 89% strong holding, zero pledge.
Risk Level ⚠️ High Risk (Volatile) New listing + speculative green energy demand.
Overall Sentiment (Current Price Level) 🟡 Neutral to Cautious Good growth story but priced too high — better to wait or buy on dips.


📊 NTPC Green – Sentiment Meter


Category Verdict Emoji
Valuation Overpriced 🔴👎
Growth Potential Strong 🟢🌱
Dividend Expectation Future Positive 🟡💰
Institutional Behaviour Mild Exit 🟠🚪
Promoter Confidence Very Strong 🟢🛡️
Volatility / Risk High 🔴⚠️


Final Investor Sentiment
Decision Type Verdict Emoji
Short-Term Traders Hold / Avoid Fresh Buy 😅✋
Long-Term Investors (5+ yrs) Buy on Dips (Below ₹90) ✅🛒


Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Rupa and Company- Stock Analysis and Study

Stock Analysis and Study 
Rupa and Company

Study on 24.09.2025

P-Poor👎🏻 
G- Good 🌸
D-Dividend
B-Buy
S-Sell
HD-Hold 😅
HH-High 👍🏻
L-Low 👎🏻
M- Mean
-----------------------------------
Company Performance & Dividend

Result :June Result ⬇️ % YOY
Sale : (-13%) Poor👎🏻
EBIDT: (-32%)Poor 👎🏻
Net Profit:(-36%) Poor👎🏻
EPS: (-48%) Poor👎🏻
Result : Q1
-----------------------------------
Paying dividend 1 time in year (August =apprx. 3 /- Per Share in a year)
Dividend Announce :🌸 3/- per Share (already paid in August)
-----------------------------------
Current Market Snapshot

Current Price: 202 (Above BV=128👎🏻)
52 W H/L: 302/174
PE:20.95  (👍🏻)
PE Sector: 33.35
ROCE:10.9%(Low👎)
ROE: 8.39% (Low👎)
Book Value : 128(Low👎🏻)
Face Value: 1
Beta: 1.14(Bad👎)
Forcast:H/M/L
223/223/223
-----------------------------------
Seasonality Trend (Last 17 Years Performance)
Seasonality
Positive result in 
Jan:(-0.77%) 6/13 (Poor👎🏻)- Buy
Feb: (-3.39%) 4/13 (V
 Poor👎🏻👎🏻) - Buy
Mar: (-3.47%) 3/13 (V
Poor👎🏻👎🏻)- Buy
Apr: (+10.06%) 8/13 (Good🌸) -Sell
May:(+7.80%) 8/13 (Good🌸) -Sell
June:(+0.92%) 8/13 (Good🌸)-  Sell
July: (+1.00%) 8/13
Aug: (-1.66%) 4/13 Poor👎🏻- Buy
Sep: (-4.71%) 3/13  (V. Poor👎🏻👎🏻)-Buy
Oct: (+2.00%) 6/13
Nov: (+2.28%) 8/13 (Good 🌸) -Sell
Dec:(+2.65%) 7/13 (Ok) -Sell
---------------------------------
Piotroski Score : 6 Average Finance 😅
FII: 0.92% (1.11%)⬇️ 
DII: 4.19%  (Unchanged)
Promoter:73.28% (Unchanged)
Institution Invester : 5.11 % (5.30%)⬇️ 
Promoter pledge: zero
Public:16.55% (16.21%)⬆️

⬆️⬇️ 🌸👍🏻👎🏻😅current% (old%)
-----------------------------------
Strategy Outlook

Shareholding max upto =
In current case -Nov

For Max Profit 
1.Buy in Feb-March,---Sell in April-May,
2.Buy in Aug- Sep,---Sell in Nov -Dec,

Confidence Vote
👉 If you already hold this stock, best exit opportunity may come in November .

Disclaimer
This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.

Thursday, September 18, 2025

Suzlon Energy- Stock Study and Analysis



Suzlon Energy – Stock Study & Analysis

Date: 18.09.2025

Current Price: ₹58.86 (~20x above Book Value ₹3.29)

📊 Rating Symbols Key
P – Poor 👎🏻 | G – Good 🌸 | D – Dividend | B – Buy | S – Sell | HD – Hold 😅 | HH – High 👍🏻 | L – Low 👎🏻 | M – Mean


🔹 Company Performance & Dividend

Q1 Result (Announced 12 Aug 2025):

  • Sales: ⬆️ +55% 🌸 Strong revenue growth

  • EBITDA: ⬆️ +62% 🌸 Margin expansion

  • Net Profit: ⬆️ +7% 🌸 Positive but moderate

  • EPS: ⬆️ +9% 🌸 Shareholder value improving

Dividend Policy:

  • Dividend: ❌ No payout in FY25

  • Announcement: Zero /- per share

Verdict: Strong operational growth, but no dividend distribution, making Suzlon a pure growth play rather than an income stock.


🔹 Valuation & Financial Metrics

  • 52W H/L: ₹85.40 / ₹46.15

  • PE: 38.74 (Below sector PE 52.29 → Fair Valued 👍🏻)

  • ROCE: Weak 👎🏻

  • ROE: 33.92% 👍🏻 Strong return on equity

  • Book Value: ₹3.29 👎🏻 Extremely low vs CMP → Highly overvalued

  • Face Value: ₹2

  • Beta: 1.49 👎🏻 High volatility → Risky for conservative investors

Forecast Range:

  • High: ₹81

  • Mean: ₹76

  • Low: ₹67


🔹 Ownership Pattern (as of Sept 2025)

  • FII: 23.03% (↑ from 22.88%)

  • DII: 10.17% (↑ from 9.31%)

  • Promoter Holding: 11.74% (↓ from 13.25%)

  • Promoter Pledge: Zero (Positive sign)

  • Institutional Investors (FII+DII): 33.20% (↑ from 32.19%)

  • Public: 38.65% (↑ from 38.29%)

Verdict: Rising institutional interest 🌸, but declining promoter holding ⚠️ may raise governance concerns.


🔹 Piotroski Score

Score: 4/9 👎🏻 – Weak financial strength despite improved results. Investors must be cautious.


🔹 Seasonality & Trading Strategy

Historical monthly patterns (17-year average):

  • Best Months to Sell: Apr 🌸🌸 (+8.21%), Oct 🌸🌸 (+6.96%), Dec 🌸 (+8.66%)

  • Best Months to Buy: Feb 👎🏻👎🏻 (-4.15%), Aug 👎🏻👎🏻 (-5.44%), Sep 👎🏻 (-4.44%)

Max Profit Strategy:

  1. Buy in Feb → Sell in April

  2. Buy in Aug → Sell in October


🔹 Final View

Suzlon Energy is a high-volatility growth stock with strong sales momentum and rising institutional participation. However, its very low book value, weak Piotroski score, and zero dividends highlight financial fragility beneath the surface.

✅ Attractive for short-to-mid term traders (seasonality favors swing trades).
⚠️ Risky for long-term conservative investors due to overvaluation and weak fundamentals.

Overall Verdict: HD – Hold 😅 (with tactical Buy-Sell opportunities).


Disclaimer

This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.

------------------------------------------------------
Suzlon Energy
Study on 18.09.2025
Current Price: 58.86 (20 times above Book Value: 3.29) 
P-Poor👎🏻 
G- Good 🌸
D-Dividend
B-Buy
S-Sell
HD-Hold 😅
HH-High 👍🏻
L-Low 👎🏻
M- Mean
----------------------------------
Company Performance & Dividend

Result :June Result ⬆️ % YOY
Sale :⬆️ (+55%) Good 🌸
EBIDT: ⬆️(+62%)Good 🌸
Net Profit:⬆️ (+7%) Good 🌸
EPS: ⬆️ (+9%) Good 🌸
Result : Q1-8 August 2025

Paying dividend zero time in year (X)⬇️
Dividend Announce:🌸 zero/- per Share 
Record date : X
Payout date : X
----------------------------------
52 W H/L: 85.40/46.15
PE: 38.74(Good👍🏻)
PE Sector: 52.29
ROCE:% (Poor👎🏻)
ROE: 33.92% (Good👍🏻)
Book Value: 3.29 (V Poor 👎🏻👎🏻)
Face Value: 2
Beta: 1.49 (Poor👎🏻)
Forcast:H/M/L
81/76/67
----------------------------------
Piotroski Score : 4 👎🏻 Week Finance
FII: 23.03% (22.88%)⬆️
DII: 10.17% (9.31%)⬆️
Promoter: 11.74% (13.25%)⬇️
Promoter Pledge: Zero
Institution Invester : 33.20% (32.19%)⬆️
Public:38.65% (38.29%)⬆️

 ⬆️⬇️ 🌸👍🏻👎🏻😅current% (old%)
Unchanged
----------------------------------
Seasonality
Positive result in
Jan: 8/17 (Good🌸)(+8.22%)
Feb:4/17 (V.Poor👎🏻👎🏻) (-4.15%) -Buy
Mar: 7/17 (Poor ) (-3.34%)- Buy
Apr: 12/17 (V.Good🌸🌸)(+8.21%)- Sell and Book Profit
May: 10/17 (Good 🌸)(+7.38%)-Sell
June: 9/17 (Good🌸)(+7.17%)-Sell
July: 6/17 (Poor👎🏻)(-3.23%)-Buy
Aug: 4/17 (V.Poor 👎🏻👎🏻)(-5.44%)-Buy
Sep: 8/17 (Poor👎🏻)(-4.44%)-Buy
Oct: 12/17 (V Good 🌸🌸)(+6.96%) -Sell and Book Profit
Nov: 7/17 (Poor👎🏻)(-1.85%)- Buy
Dec: 9/17 (Good🌸)(+8.66%)- Sell
----------------------------------
For Max Profit 
1.Buy in Feb --Sell in April
2.Buy in Aug --Sell in October.
------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer
This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.

ONGC- Stock Study and Analysis



📊 Stock Analysis & Study: ONGC

Study Date: 18 September 2025

Legend:
P = Poor 👎🏻 | G = Good 🌸 | D = Dividend | B = Buy | S = Sell | HD = Hold 😅 | HH = High 👍🏻 | L = Low 👎🏻 | M = Mean


🏢 Company Performance & Dividend

Q1 FY25 Results (announced 8 August 2025):

  • Sales: -3% YoY → Poor 👎🏻

  • EBITDA: +18% YoY → Good 🌸

  • Net Profit: -2% YoY → Poor 👎🏻

  • EPS: -2% YoY → Poor 👎🏻

Dividend Policy:

  • ONGC pays dividends three times a year (Aug–Nov–Feb), totaling approximately ₹12 per share annually.

  • Recent payout: 🌸 ₹1.25 per share (already paid in September 2025).

  • Upcoming dividends:

    • November: X/- per share

    • February: X/- per share

  • Record Date & Payout Date: To be announced.


💹 Current Market Snapshot

  • Current Price: ₹237 (Below BV = ₹273 👍)

  • 52W H/L: ₹345 / ₹205

  • P/E: 8.27 👎 (Sector P/E: 8.84)

  • ROCE: 12% (Low 👎)

  • ROE: 10.6% (Low 👎)

  • Book Value: ₹273 🌸

  • Face Value: ₹5

  • Beta: 1.06 (High volatility 👎)

Price Forecast (H/M/L): ₹340 / ₹273 / ₹205


📈 Seasonality Trend (17-Year Historical Performance)

  • Jan: 8/16 (+2.95%) → Ok

  • Feb: 8/17 (-1.54%) → Poor 👎🏻 (Dividend month)

  • Mar: 8/17 (-0.02%) → Poor 👎🏻

  • Apr: 13/17 (+3.52%) → Very Good 🌸🌸🌸 (Sell & book profits)

  • May: 8/17 (+2.39%) → Sell

  • June: 10/17 (+0.62%) → Good 🌸 (Sell)

  • July: 7/17 (-1.11%)

  • Aug: 8/17 (-0.58%) → Dividend month

  • Sep: 9/17 (+1.53%) → Ok

  • Oct: 8/17 (+0.84%)

  • Nov: 5/17 (-0.73%) → Poor 👎🏻 (Buy opportunity + Dividend)

  • Dec: 9/17 (+1.37%)


📊 Institutional & Financial Indicators

  • Piotroski Score: 4 👎 → Weak financial health

  • FII: 7.09% (↓ from 7.12%)

  • DII: 30.14% (↓ from 30.24%)

  • Promoter Holding: Unchanged

  • Total Institutional Holding: 37.23% (↓ from 37.36%)


🧭 Strategy Outlook

  • Short-term trading opportunities (based on seasonality & dividend trends):

    1. Buy in Feb, Sell in Apr

    2. Buy in May, Sell in June

    3. Buy in July, Sell in Aug

    4. Buy in Nov, Sell in Dec

👉 If already holding ONGC, best exit window could be in November (post-dividend bounce).


✅ Buy or Not Buy?

  • Current price below book value (positive 🌸)

  • Weak YoY profit/EPS growth 👎🏻

  • Attractive dividend yield (approx. 5%) 🌸

  • High volatility (Beta > 1) 👎🏻

🔎 Interpretation: ONGC appears more suited for dividend-focused investors and short-term seasonal trades rather than long-term compounding, given weak growth metrics.


⚠️ Disclaimer

This report is prepared for educational and analytical purposes only. It reflects personal research, interpretation, and historical trend analysis. This is not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor and align with your financial goals and risk profile before making any investment decisions.



Stock Analysis and Study 

ONGC

Study on 18.09.2025


P-Poor👎🏻 

G- Good 🌸

D-Dividend

B-Buy

S-Sell

HD-Hold 😅

HH-High 👍🏻

L-Low 👎🏻

M- Mean

--------------------------------------

Company Performance & Dividend


Result :June Result ⬇️ % YOY

Sale : (-3%) Poor👎🏻

EBIDT: (+18%)Good 🌸

Net Profit:(-2%) Poor👎🏻

EPS: (-2%) Poor👎🏻

Result : Q1-8 August 2025

-------------------------------------

Paying dividend 3 time in year (August-Nov-Feb =apprx. 12 /- in a year)

Dividend Announce :🌸 1.25/- per Share (already paid in Sep )

Upcoming dividend payout in 

Nov: X/-per Share

Feb : X/-Per Share

Record date :

Payout date : 

--------------------------------------

Current Market Snapshot


Current Price: 237 (Below BV=273👍)

52W H/L: 345/205

PE: 8.27 (👎)

PE Sector: 8.84

ROCE:12%(Low👎)

ROE: 10.6% (Low👎)

Book Value :273 (Good 🌸)

Face Value:5

Beta: 1.06(Bad👎)

Forcast:H/M/L

340/273/205

-------------------------------------

Seasonality Trend (Last 17 Years Performance)

Seasonality

Positive result in 

Jan: 8/16 (Ok)(+2.95%)

Feb: 8/17 (Poor👎🏻) Dividend(-1.54%)

Mar: 8/17 (Poor👎🏻)(-0.02%)

Apr: 13/17 (V.good🌸🌸🌸) (Sell and book Profit)(+3.52%)

May: 8/17 (+2.39%) Sell

June: 10/17 (Good🌸) (+0.62%) Sell

July :7/17 (-1.11%)

Aug: 8/17 (Dividend)(-0.58%)

Sep: 9/17 (Ok)(+1.53%)

Oct: 8/17 (+0.84%)

Nov: 5/17 (Poor👎🏻)(Buy) Dividend (-0.73%)

Dec: 9/17(+1.37%)

–-------------------------------------

Piotroski Score : 4 👎 (Poor) weak Finance

FII: 7.09% (7.12%)⬇️ 

DII: 30.14% (30.24%)⬇️ 

Promoter:unchange

Institution Invester : 37.23% (37.36%)⬇️ 


⬆️⬇️ 🌸👍🏻👎🏻😅current% (old%)

------------------------------------

Strategy Outlook


Shareholding max upto 

In current case -Nov (Dividend)


For Max Profit 

1.Buy in Feb,---Sell in April,

2. Buy in May,---Sell in June,

3.Buy in July,---Sell in August,

4.Buy in Nov,---Sell in Dec,


Confidence Vote


👉 If you already hold this stock, best exit opportunity may come in Nov .


Buy or Not Buy Decision 


⚠️ Disclaimer

This study is intended only for educational and analytical purposes. It reflects personal research, interpretation, and historical trend analysis. It is not investment advice. Investors must consult certified financial advisors and consider individual financial goals and risk profiles before making investment decisions.



Monday, September 15, 2025

NTPC Ltd.- Stock Analysis and Study



Stock Analysis and Study

NTPC Ltd.
Study Date: 25.08.2025


📊 Key Financial Snapshot

  • Current Price: ₹339.50

  • 52-Week High/Low: ₹448 / ₹293

  • Book Value: ₹173.54

  • Face Value: ₹10

  • PE Ratio (TTM): 13.74 🌸 (Good; Sector Avg: 26.36)

  • ROCE: 10.8% 👎🏻 (Low)

  • ROE: 13.6% 👎🏻 (Low)

  • Beta: 1.11 👎🏻 (High Volatility)

  • Piotroski Score: 6 🌸 (Good)


💰 Dividend Profile

  • Dividend Announced: ₹3.35/- per share

  • Record Date: 4th September 2025

  • AGM: 29th August 2025

  • Payout Date: 25th September 2025

  • Dividend Frequency: 3 times a year (Aug – Oct – Jan)


📈 Performance Highlights

  • PAT Growth: +11% YoY (Strong Operational Performance)


🎯 Forecast Price Range

  • High (H): ₹490 👍🏻

  • Mean (M): ₹417 🙂

  • Low (L): ₹320 👎🏻


📅 Seasonality & Historical Performance

(Based on 17 years data)

  • Jan: 6/17 👎🏻 (Poor) → Dividend Period 💰

  • Feb: 5/17 👎🏻 (Poor) → Buy Opportunity 📈

  • Mar: 11/17 🌸 (Good) → Sell & Book Profit 📉

  • Apr: 9/17 🌸 (Good) → Sell 📉

  • May: 6/17 👎🏻 (Poor)

  • Jun: 9/17 🌸 (Good) → Sell 📉

  • Jul: 7/17 (Neutral)

  • Aug: 10/17 🌸 (Strong) → Dividend Period 💰 (Record Date: 4 Sept)

  • Sep: 9/17 🌸 (Good)

  • Oct: 9/17 🌸 (Good) → Dividend Period 💰

  • Nov: 3/17 👎🏻 (Very Poor) → Buy Opportunity 📈

  • Dec: 9/17 🌸 (Good)

📌 Seasonality Note:

  • Q1 (July) & Q4 (May): Revenue dip due to lower power demand.

  • Q2 & Q3 (Aug–Dec): Stronger performance with higher seasonal demand


Quick Rating Box

  • P – Poor 👎🏻

  • G – Good 🌸

  • D – Dividend 💰

  • B – Buy 📈

  • S – Sell 📉

  • H – High 👍🏻

  • L – Low 👎🏻

  • M – Mean 🙂


🔎 Interpretation & Insights

  • Strengths: Attractive PE vs sector, stable dividend track record, PAT growth of 11% YoY, strong seasonal Q2 & Q3.

  • Weaknesses: Low ROE & ROCE, high beta (volatility).

  • Opportunities: Dividend income consistency; strong performance in Aug–Oct & Dec.

  • Risks: Cyclical demand dependency, seasonality affecting Q1 & Q4.


⚠️ Disclaimer

This analysis is prepared purely for educational and analytical purposes. It reflects independent research, data interpretation, and study insights. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendation. Investors must consult certified financial advisors, considering personal risk appetite and financial goals, before making investment decisions.



Nucleus Software - Stock Analysis and Study



📊 Stock Study & Analysis

Nucleus Software
Study Date: 20.08.2025


🔹 Company Performance & Dividend

  • Dividend Payout: Once a year in July → ₹12/- per share

  • Latest Dividend Announced: ₹12.50/- per share

  • Record Date: (Not specified)

  • Payout Date: 11.07.2025 (Already Paid)


🔹 Current Market Snapshot

  • CMP: ₹1018

  • Book Value (BV): ₹304 (Low)

  • 52W H/L: ₹1574 / ₹724

  • PE Ratio: 16.2 (Low) vs. Sector PE: 27.50

  • ROCE: 22.6% (Good)

  • ROE: 16.8% (Good)

  • Face Value: ₹10

  • Beta: 1.11 (High Risk / Volatile)

  • Piotroski Score: 4 (Weak Financials)


🔹 Institutional Investment Trend

  • FII: Increasing 📈

  • DII: Slight decrease 📉


🔹 Forecast Levels

  • High / Mean / Low: 1350 / 1350 / 1350


🔹 Seasonality Trend (Last 17 Years Performance)

Month Positive Return % Frequency (Times) Remark
Jan 50% 8/17 Average
Feb 29.41% 5/17 ❌ Very Poor (Buy)
Mar 35.29% 6/17 ❌ Poor
Apr 94.12% 16/17 ✅ Very Good (Best Sell Month)
May 47.06% 8/17 Poor
June 47.06% 8/17 Poor
July 47.06% 8/17 Poor
Aug 47.06% 8/17 Poor
Sep 50.00% 8/17 Average (Sell)
Oct 37.50% 6/17 Buy Opportunity
Nov 37.50% 6/17 Buy Opportunity
Dec 37.50% 6/17 Buy Opportunity

🔹 Strategy Outlook

  • Buy Months: Feb – Mar

  • Sell Month: April (ideal profit booking window)

  • Holding Period: Upto April 2026 for maximum profit potential


🔹 Confidence Vote

⚠️ Not recommended to buy at current levels.
👉 If you already hold this stock, best exit opportunity may come in January.


⚠️ Disclaimer

This study is intended only for educational and analytical purposes. It reflects personal research, interpretation, and historical trend analysis. It is not investment advice. Investors must consult certified financial advisors and consider individual financial goals and risk profiles before making investment decisions.




Study on 20.08.2025
Nucleus Software
Result 
Dividend Payout: once a year in July 12/- per share
Dividend Announce : 12.50/- per share
Record date 
Payout date : 11.07.2025 (Already Paid)
Current Price: 1018 {BV 304 (Low)}
52 W H/L: 1574/724
PE: 16.2 (Low)
PE Sector: 27.50
ROCE:22.6 (Good)
ROE: 16.8 (Good)
Book Value 304 (Low)
Face Value:10
Beta: 1.11 (Bad)
Piotroski Score :4 (Weak Financial)
QOQ investment by
FII- Increase
DII-slide decrease
Forcast:H/M/L 1350/1350/1350
Seasonality
Positive result in previous years and %
Jan: 50% : 8/17 
Feb: 29.41% : 5/17 (v.poor) Buy
Mar: 35.29% : 6/17 (Poor)
Apr : 94.12% : 16/17 (V.good)
(sell off  and book max profit)
May: 47.06%: 8/17 (poor)
June: 47.06%: 8/17 (poor)
July: 47.06%: 8/17 (poor)
Aug: 47.06% : 8/17 (poor)
Sep: 50.00% : 8/17- sell
Oct: 37.50% : 6/17- Buy
Nov: 37.50% : 6/17- Buy
Dec: 37.50% : 6/17- Buy

Buy Month: Feb - March

Sell Month : April

Share holding upto April 2026 for max profit

Confidence Vote : Not recommended to buy now. If  you already have  this share you will get the chance to exit in Jan.

Saturday, September 13, 2025

Stock Analysis and Study Dilip Buildcon Limited (DBL)



Dilip Buildcon Limited (DBL)

Sector: Construction / Mining
Study Date: 02.09.2025

Current Price: ₹470 (Above Book Value: ₹346)


Key Metrics

  • 52W H/L: 582 / 363

  • PE: 16.7 🌸 (Sector Avg: 19.86)

  • ROCE: 14.8% 🌸

  • ROE: 9.97% 👎🏻

  • Book Value: ₹346 🌸

  • Face Value: ₹10

  • Beta: 1.27 👎🏻 (High Volatility)

  • Piotroski Score: 5 (Average Finance)

Forecast (H/M/L): 480 / 451 / 419


Dividend

  • Pays once a year (₹1 per share in September)

  • Latest Dividend: 🌸 ₹1 per share

    • Record Date: Pending

    • Payout Date: Pending


Shareholding Pattern

(Current % vs Previous %)

  • FII: ⬇️ 2.76% (2.82%)

  • DII: ⬇️ 5.93% (6.92%)

  • Promoters: 63.14% (Unchanged)

  • Institutional Investors: ⬆️ 9.68% (8.75%)

  • Public: ⬆️ 11.21% (11.16%)


Seasonality Trends

  • Jan: 👎🏻 -4.10% → Buy

  • Feb: 🌸 +7.76% → Sell

  • Mar: 🌸 +2.35%

  • Apr: 🌸 +5.11%

  • May: 😐 -1.14% → Buy

  • June: 😅 +0.52% → Hold

  • July: 🌸 +5.29% → Sell

  • Aug: 🌸 +7.21% → Sell / Book Profit

  • Sep: 👎🏻 -2.46% → Buy

  • Oct: 👎🏻 +0.44% → Buy

  • Nov: 🌸 +5.96% → Sell

  • Dec: 👎🏻 -4.16%

Max Profit Strategy:
Buy in: Dec–Jan, May, Oct
Sell in: Feb, Aug, Nov


Final View (Confidence Vote)

  • Price is above mean ₹451/-.

  • Weak ROE & declining FII/DII holding.

  • High volatility risk.

👉 Not Recommended to Buy Now. Wait for correction near ₹451 or below.


Disclaimer
This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.



Dilip Buildcon Limited
Construction/Mining
Study on 02.09.2025
Current Price: 470 (Above Book Value: 346 )
-----------------------------------
Icon Note
⬆️⬇️ 🌸👍🏻👎🏻😅
P-Poor👎🏻 
G- Good 🌸
D-Dividend
B-Buy
S-Sell
HD-Hold 😅
HH-High 👍🏻
L-Low 👎🏻
M- Mean
-----------------------------------
Result :June Result ⬇️ % YOY
Paying dividend 1 time in year (1/- per Share in September)
Dividend Announce :🌸 1/- per Share 
Record date :
Payout date : 
52W H/L: 582/363
PE:16.7 (Good🌸)
PE Sector: 19.86
ROCE:14.8% (Good🌸)
ROE: 9.97% (Poor👎🏻)
Book Value: 346 (Good🌸)
Face Value:10
Beta: 1.27 (Poor👎🏻)
Forcast:H/M/L
480/451/419
Piotroski Score : 5 Average Finance
-----------------------------------
Holding
current% (old%)
FII: ⬇️ 2.76% (2.82%)
DII: ⬇️ 5.93% (6.92%)
Promoter: Unchanged (63.14%)
Institution Invester :⬆️ 9.68% (8.75%)
Public ⬆️ 11.21% (11.16%)

Seasonality
Positive result in
Jan: 4/9 (Poor👎🏻)(-4.10%)-Buy
Feb: 5/9 (Good🌸) (+7.76%)-Sell 
Mar: 5/9 (Good🌸)(+2.35%)
Apr:6/9 (Good🌸) (+5.11%)
May: 5/9 (Ok)(-1.14%)- Buy
June:6/9 (Hold) (+0.52%)
July:5/9 (Good🌸) (+5.29%)-Sell
Aug: 6/9 (Good🌸)(+7.21%)-Sell and book Profit
Sep: 3/10 (Poor👎🏻)(-2.46%)-Buy
Oct: 3/10 (Poor👎🏻)(0.44%) -Buy
Nov:6/10 (Good🌸) (5.96%) -Sell
Dec:2/10 (Poor👎🏻) (-4.16%)

For Max Profit 
buy in Dec-Jan, May , Oct 
Sell in Feb, Aug, Nov

Confidence Vote: Not recommended to Buy now as Price is above mean 451/-
Disclaimer
This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.