NTPC Green- Stock Analysis and Study

Stock Analysis and Study -NTPC Green

Study on 02.10.2025

P-Poor👎🏻 

G- Good 🌸

D-Dividend

B-Buy

S-Sell

HD-Hold 😅

HH-High 👍🏻

L-Low 👎🏻

M- Mean

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Company Performance & Dividend

Result :June Result ⬆️% YOY

Sale : (+18%) ⬆️Good 🌸

EBIDT: (+18%)⬆️Good 🌸

Net Profit:(+59%) ⬆️  Good 🌸

EPS: (+8%) ⬆️ Good 🌸

Result : Q1

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Paying dividend zero time in year  =apprx. 0 /- in a year)

Dividend Announce :🌸 0/- per Share 

Upcoming dividend payout in Not applicable

Record date :NA

Payout date : NA

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Piotroski Score : 4 (Poor👎🏻)  weak Finance

FII: 1.85% (1.98%)⬇️ 

DII: 4.65% (4.87%)⬇️ 

Promoter:unchange 89.01%

Institution Invester : 6.50% (6.85%)⬇️ 

Promoter pledge: Zero

Public: 4.18% (3.87%) ⬆️

⬆️⬇️ 🌸👍🏻👎🏻😅current% (old%)

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Current Market Snapshot

Current Price: 98.15 (5X above BV=21.9) (Poor 👎)

52 W H/L: 155/84.6

PE: 161.55 (Poor 👎)

PE Sector: 28.33

ROCE:4.89%(Low👎)

ROE: 3.85% (Low👎)

Book Value : 21.9 (Poor👎🏻)

Face Value: 10

Beta: 1.13 (Bad👎)

Forcast:H/M/L

120/104/75

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Seasonality Trend- no Data   

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Strategy Outlook

Short-term: Volatile due to IPO listing gains/profit booking.

Medium-term: Govt. push on renewables = growth driver.

Long-term: Strong potential as India expands solar/wind capacity, but valuation is expensive right now.

👉 Best Strategy:

Investors: Accumulate on dips near ₹80–85 for long-term renewable energy story.

Confidence Vote

Fundamentals: 🌸 Growth story, but weak finance ratios

Valuation: 👎 Overpriced (PE > 160)

Dividends: Not attractive yet

Risk: High volatility post-IPO

📌 Decision:

Short-term: HD-Hold 😅 (Don’t chase at high PE, wait for correction)

Long-term (5+ years): B-Buy 🌸 on dips below ₹90 for green energy exposure.

Buying price : 85- 90/-

As per recent month trend 100/- was Minimum

Disclaimer

This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.

Sentiment Analysis – NTPC Green Stock Review

Aspect	Sentiment	Reason
Business Growth	✅ Positive	Strong YoY growth in sales and profit.
Valuation	❌ Negative	Extremely high PE (161+) → Overvalued.
Financial Strength / Ratios	❌ Weak / Cautious	Low ROE/ROCE, Piotroski Score = 4 (Poor).
Dividend Potential	⚠️ Neutral / Future Positive	Dividend-friendly parent, but no strong history yet for subsidiary.
Institutional Behaviour	⚠️ Mild Negative	FIIs/DIIs reducing stake post-IPO.
Promoter Confidence	✅ Positive	89% strong holding, zero pledge.
Risk Level	⚠️ High Risk (Volatile)	New listing + speculative green energy demand.
Overall Sentiment (Current Price Level)	🟡 Neutral to Cautious	Good growth story but priced too high — better to wait or buy on dips.

📊 NTPC Green – Sentiment Meter

Category	Verdict	Emoji
Valuation	Overpriced	🔴👎
Growth Potential	Strong	🟢🌱
Dividend Expectation	Future Positive	🟡💰
Institutional Behaviour	Mild Exit	🟠🚪
Promoter Confidence	Very Strong	🟢🛡️
Volatility / Risk	High	🔴⚠️

Final Investor Sentiment

Decision Type	Verdict	Emoji
Short-Term Traders	Hold / Avoid Fresh Buy	😅✋
Long-Term Investors (5+ yrs)	Buy on Dips (Below ₹90)	✅🛒