GNFC (Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd.)

Study Date: 01.09.2025
Current Price: ₹526 (Below Book Value: ₹569.68/-)

Quick Indicators

P – Poor 👎🏻
G – Good 🌸 / 👍🏻
D – Dividend
B – Buy
S – Sell
H – High 👍🏻
L – Low 👎🏻
M – Mean

Financial Snapshot

June Result: ⬇️ 20.78% YoY
Dividend Policy: 1 time annually (September)
Latest Dividend: 🌸 ₹18/- per Share
Record Date: 02.09.2025
Payout Date: Not yet announced
52W H/L: 707 / 449
PE Ratio: 13.86 (Good 🌸)
Sector PE: 25.56
ROCE: 9.57% (Poor 👎🏻)
ROE: 7.08% (Poor 👎🏻)
Book Value: ₹569.68 (Good 🌸)
Face Value: ₹10
Beta: 1.26 (High Volatility 👎🏻)
Forecast: H / M / L (Mixed Trend)

Strength Indicators

Piotroski Score: 8 🌸🌸 (Very Good – Strong Financials)
FII Holding: ⬇️ 12.67% (Prev. 15.03%)
DII Holding: ⬆️ 10.49% (Prev. 10.13%)
Promoters: 🌸 Stable at 41.30%
Institutional Investors: ⬇️ 23.16% (Prev. 25.16%)

Seasonality Performance (17-Year Historical Data)

Jan: 7/17 👎🏻 (+2.44%) → Buy
Feb: 4/17 (Very Poor 👎🏻 -4.32%) → Buy
Mar: 9/17 (Good 🌸 +3.30%) → Hold
Apr: 15/17 (Very Good 🌸 +9.95%) → Sell & Book Profit
May: 6/17 (Poor 👎🏻 +2.13%) → Buy
Jun: 9/17 (-0.64%) → Neutral
Jul: 11/17 (Good 🌸 +2.71%) → Sell
Aug: 9/17 (OK -3.25%) → Buy
Sep: 10/17 (OK +3.56%) → Sell (Dividend ₹18/-)
Oct: 10/17 (🌸 +9.26%) → Sell & Book Profit
Nov: 8/17 (Poor 👎🏻 -2.64%) → Buy
Dec: 9/17 (OK +1.01%) → Sell

📌 Seasonal Strategy for Max Profit:

Best Buy Months: February & August
Best Sell Months: April & October

Conclusion

GNFC is currently trading below its book value, offering a margin of safety. While profitability ratios (ROE/ROCE) are weak, the Piotroski score and dividend policy are strong positives. Seasonal trends suggest tactical buying in dips (Feb/Aug) and profit-booking in Apr/Oct.

Disclaimer

This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, historical data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, keeping in mind their personal goals and risk appetite.

GNFC

Study on 01.09.2025

Current Price: 526 (Below Book Value:569.68/-)

P-Poor👎🏻

G- Good 👍🏻

D-Dividend

B-Buy

S-Sell

H-High 👍🏻

L-Low 👎🏻

M- Mean

Result :June Result ⬇️ 20.78% YOY

Paying dividend 1 time in year (September)

Dividend Announce :🌸 18/- per Share

Record date :02.Sep 2025

Payout date :

52W H/L: 707/449

PE: 13.86 (Good)

PE Sector:25.56

ROCE:9.57% (Poor👎🏻)

ROE: 7.08% (Poor👎🏻)

Book Value: 569.68 (Good)

Face Value:10

Beta: 1.26 (Poor)

Forcast:H/M/L

Piotroski Score : 8 🌸🌸 (V.Good) Strong Finance

FII: ⬇️ 12.67% (15.03%)

DII: ⬆️ 10.49% ( 10.13%)

Promoter: 🌸 Unchanged (41.30%)

Institution Invester : ⬇️ 23.16% (25.16%)

Seasonality

Positive result in

Jan:7/17 👎🏻(+2.44%)

(Buy)

Feb: 4/17 (V.Poor)👎🏻 (-4.32%) (Buy)

Mar: 9/17 (Good🌸) (+3.30%) Hold

Apr: 15/17 (V.Good 🌸) (9.95%) (Sell and Book Profit)

May: 6/17 (Poor👎🏻) (+2.13%) -Buy

June:9/17 (-0.64%)(OK)

July: 11/17 (+2.71%)🌸Good- Sell

Aug: 9/17 (OK)(-3.25%) Buy

Sep:10/17 (Ok) (+3.56%) (Dividend -18/-) Sell

Oct: 10/17 (🌸)(+9.26%) (Sell and Book Profit

Nov: 8/17 (Poor 👎🏻) (-2.64%) (Buy)

Dec: 9/17 (Ok) (+1.01%) sell

For Max Profit buy in Feb and August

Sell in April and October

Disclaimer

This document is purely for educational and analytical purposes only. It represents personal study, data interpretation, and thought-provoking observations. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. Investors must make independent decisions after consulting certified financial advisors, taking into account their own objectives and risk appetite.

World Engineer

Thursday, October 2, 2025